Defendant was contracted to bring Plaintiff’s sugar to Basrah where Defendant knew there was a sugar market but did not know that Plaintiff intended to sell it.
He brought the sugar later than the contract stipulated, by which time the price of sugar had fallen and Plaintiff sued him for lost profits.
HL allowed Plaintiff’s claim, saying that the lost profits resulting from the late delivery was NOT too remote.
He says that Lord Asquith’s use of the “reasonably foreseeable” is wrong, since a result, however unlikely, might be reasonably foreseeable.
What is really required is that Defendant did foresee the harm and that, had the defendant thought about it, he would have seen the likelihood of it occurring as having a “very substantial degree of probability”.
He also says that the phrases such as “on the cards” or “serious possibility” etc. are unhelpful as they set the standard of risk of the harm occurring too low.
As a reasonable businessman Defendant must have known that late delivery of the sugar would cause Plaintiff some loss.
He says that Lord Asquith’s phrase that a reasonable person would have foreseen that the breach was “liable to result” in harm was bad as it is vague and doesn’t set a standard of likelihood.
The phrase “liable to result” is good and no more vague than the use of the word “likelihood”.
“Liable to result” = “serious possibility” or a “real danger”.
These phrases lower the standard of probability that the breach has to cause the loss and this is good (unlike the requirement of Hadley that the breach had to be “probable” i.e. more likely than not).
“Serious possibility” or “real danger” are good tests, but reasonable foreseeability is not the test in contract.
The best explanation of the judgments is that whereas a slight risk of harm occurring is all that’s needed in tort, a serious possibility of loss occurring is needed in contract.